As the artificial intelligence boom drives the exponential demand for data centers, the United States position as AI leader is at risk without immediate actions to address growth restrictions. The “transition to cloud -based services and generative AI applications (expected to drive) an annual increase of 37% in AI expenditure until 2032”, according to Bloomberg. Significant growth occurs at a time when supply chain restrictions limit the growth of income among the largest developers of the United States data center, known as hyperscalers. Last year, hyperscalers have been marking the data center supply chain as a header in their growth during quarterly results calls. If you stop, the progress and position of the United States as a world leader in AI innovation could be at risk. According to Bloomberg, the United States has 45% of all data centers worldwide, but the products that fill these centers usually get outside the US data centers require a complex combination of chips, servers, network equipment, storage, cooling and power and many other components. The four main limitations of data center growth are the supply of chips and other production products, rates, land availability and reliable electricity. Increasing the reducing production of production around the world, countries assign significant resources in an effort to exceed the United States in the AI and the infrastructure of the Data Center. The agile scale with flexibility to solve supply chain restrictions is crucial for future growth.
The bottlenecks in the Semiconductor Chips Supply Chain, most of which are manufactured in Asia, play an important role in compression in data centers, because these chips are essential to meet the redundancy needs of the data center. The United States Chips and Sciences Act in 2022 allocated $ 280 million in funding to stimulate domestic chip production (Fig. 1). But, as it takes several years to launch new semiconductor manufacturing facilities; Funded by Chips Law will probably not be operational until 2028 or 2029. The United States leads their peers in the movement where they are in the production of chip. The following stimulus of the largest government chip was the European Union European Chips Act by 2023, which assigned 43 billion euros ($ 47 billion) in the sector. (Caption ID = “Attached_231973” Align = “Alignnone” Width = “1024”)
1. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence, Peterson Institute of Economics, analysis of data from the U.S. Census Office of Martin Chorzempa, CSMA US LLP(/subtitle) Current regulations also change the landscape daily. The Trump administration has indicated the appetite of repealing or climbing the Chips Law. In addition, increase rates threaten to improve the data center supply chain with a significant increase in prices. Mainly China is a large supplier of chips, servers and network equipment that are crucial for the capacity of the United States and Canada data center is the main foreign supplier in the United States of Acer and Aluminum, which is used in creating racks and data centers. Some of the operations of the Hyperscalers Data Center in all the United States are also in areas that are known to import a little Canadian power, including, but not limited to – Oregon, Washington, New York, Massachusetts, Ohio and Illinois.
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The Trump administration has also suggested additional rates, including a new 25% rate in Taiwan semiconductors. This rate would be devastating for the US technology industry, given the centralized production of the most advanced chips in Taiwan. As the costs increase to function in the United States, multinational companies have an incentive to strengthen the data center’s capacity elsewhere.
In June 2024, TD Cowen predicted that “American data centers will represent 6.6% of all United States electricity consumption” in 2028. Their research went further, quoting vital regions of the data center that was near the power qualified by reliability. The estimates included the north of Virginia in 2027; New Albany, Ohio in summer 2028; Silicon Valley in 2034; And he said that Dallas, Texas, already exceeds his supply. According to a report of December 2024 of the United States Department of Energy, US data centers consumed 176 hours Terawatt in 2023, or 4.2% of United States electricity consumption. To say in perspective, our data centers consume more than 54% of the total energy consumed in the interior of Mexico and its 130 million citizens this year. Also significant is the growth rate of demand (Figure 2). In the last 15 years, the growth in the Demand for Electricity of the United States was almost flat at only 0.1% per annum. It is currently seen from 2% to 3% annual growth, higher in heavy data regions in the data center, these growth rates feel impressive for an ecosystem that is simply not used. (Caption ID = “Attached
2. Source: RSM US LLP, United States Energy Information Administration(/subtitle) The need for reliable power has caused many hyperscalers to explore a “behind the meter” model, where they own and operate their own power sources. Although they still need to connect to the network due to resilience against interruptions, this model offers more easier control and prediction for the future scale. The main challenge with this strategy, however, is the necessary construction time. Nuclear power plants, favored by technology companies to be reliable and have no carbon emissions, can take more than a decade to build and often face a public impulse. Renewable sources such as solar and wind, when combined with battery storage, can be a viable option to provide large amounts of online energy at a minimum of 12 to 18 months. Natural gas would be a viable source, but the longest calendar of four to five years to bring a new natural gas plant online makes this reality more difficult. Energy is not the only source of energy consumption in the data center. From 2023, McKinsey estimated that 40% of all data in the data center is going to cooling. Cooling is a central part of data center management to prevent damage, equipment failure and maintaining performance. In an industry that is expected to provide some times of 99.999% (or the equivalent of 5.25 minutes of inactivity time a year), overheating can have dire effects. By 2023, a data center in Singapore was overheated, which caused 2.5 million bank transactions to fail on two multinational banks. Water -based methods to cool chip facilities are becoming more and more popular solutions, which will have implications for local water utility capacity, expansion and efficiency.
North -American data centers have been historically affected by the main Internet exchanges that also meet the previous energy needs, while protecting themselves from the main environmental risks such as natural disasters. However, as regions such as North Virginia, Oregon, Phoenix and Dallas/Fort Worth they are saturated, developers are looking for alternative places for data centers. The state regulatory landscape is evolving, with the legislators of various states that plan and propose invoices aimed at ensuring that data centers pay their fair quota of energy bills and, in some cases, establishing goals for the use of renewable energy for customers of the data center.
It is expected that the data center’s demand will increase exponentially, turbocharged by the AI. The growth provides an opportunity for the entire ecosystem from the production of servers to sources of energy to feeding and cooling data centers. With the changing regulatory landscape, the winners in the United States are likely to be those with less exposure to foreign supply chains. Agility will also be important as AI continues to evolve to a fast clip and remodel the wider data center ecosystem. Organizations can take numerous routes to prepare for this growth. These may include evaluating scale skills, understanding the impact of the interest rate environment on future plans, identifying potential alternative suppliers and taking advantage of incentive programs that can withstand growth. –Andrew FeDele is a director in RSM US Llp’s Practice transactions advice services. David Carter He is the director of the practice of risk consulting and the risk of privacy of RSMs you LLP. Mac Carroll He is a superior manager of tax services at RSM US LLP.
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