For now, they are most likely to be kept at a time in Gaza and Lebanon, despite being tested on their limits over the weekend, as all sides want to avoid fighting full -time exchanges for at least a few weeks, analysts said.

In southern Lebanon, Israeli troops remained in the position The past time on Sunday for their retreat, in the midst of Israeli claims that Hezbollah violated his own promise to leave the area. In Gaza Hamas failed to let the female hostage that Israel hoped to be released on Saturday, which encouraged Israel delay the agreed return displaced Palestinians into their homes in the northern gauze.

But even while each side accused the other of renewing their contracts, analysts said, both Israel and his opponents had reason to remain flexible and temporarily overlooked by others.

Hezbollah, although angry with Israel for holding a trunk in southern Lebanon, would risk a devastating Israeli counterattack if renewing its rocket strikes in Israeli cities. Hamas wants to retain power in Gaza and risks to lose it if the war returns. And Israel must maintain an instant arrangement in Gaza long enough to release at least two tens of more hostages. Israeli leaders also appeared eager for the placement of President Trump, who was a campaign Promise to maintain peace in the Middle East.

Illustrating their desire to extend the gauze ceasefire, Israel and Hamas seemed to have solved a weekend crisis at midnight on Sunday. The government of Qatar, the mediator between the sides, said that Female soil, arbel yehudHe would be released this week with two other others who will be released before the schedule. In return, Israel said it would allow displaced Palestinians Return to northern gaza on Monday morning.

As for Lebanon, Was announced by the White House There was no immediate comment from the Defense on February 18, although from Israel or Hezbollah. The Office of the Lebanese Prime Minister confirmed the extension.

Aaron David Miller, a former American negotiator in the Middle East Peace Negotre, said, “They will go through the next few weeks – every guess is behind it.”

“These are not agreements between the United States and Switzerland. They are agreements that depend on each side give another discretion discretion and margin for maneuver,” he added. “This is their weakness, but also their strength.”

This stock of stock ultimately enabled both goods to survive the weekend, even while the Israeli troops fired and killed people and in Lebanon and in a tread who were trying to return to areas that still control Israel.

The Lebanese Ministry of Health announced that the Israeli fire was killed by 22 people in southern Lebanon, and the news agency of the Palestinian administration said that one person had been killed in Gaza as large crowds in both places gathered near Israeli troops, demanding going home.

But by Monday morning, he seemed to be opposed to Gaza. In Lebanon, Hezbollah issued a statement in which he praised the inhabitants trying to return and calling for the sides of the force to force Israel to withdraw. But Hezbollah did not continue his missile fire.

Analysts say Hezbollah is unlikely to risk further losses, while his leadership is decimated and his benefactor Iran is weakened. Also, the main route of the weapon supply, through Syria, was blocked in December when Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, an ally of Hezbollah, was Built by rebels.

Hezbollah commanders “still have some rockets, have some rifles, they can do something,” said Hanin Ghaddar, a Lebanese analyst at the Washington Institute of Middle East, External Affairs Research Group.

“But it is suicide if they do it, because they know that any attack by Hezbollah in Israel means that Israel will take the opportunity to return to a complete explosion and destroy all that has left them,” Mrs. Ghaddar added.

Hezbollah is also careful to lose support among the Shiite Muslim base, especially in the parliamentary elections next year, said Ms. Ghaddar. Lebanon’s Shiite Community paid the highest price for the decision of Hezbollah War with Israel In October 2023 in solidarity with his federal hamas. Shiite villages and cities in the south of Lebanon burdened Israeli air campaigns and invasions to Earth.

“If Shia does not vote for them, this is the end of Hezbollah,” said Mrs. Ghaddar, author of the book on Hezbollah’s relationship with his base. “I can’t really do anything if they don’t know 100 percent that the Shiite community will support it.”

Since Hezbollah is less likely to continue the fight, the gauze cessation of fire is considered to be the most deadly of two trucks.

But his biggest stress test is not expected by the beginning of March, when Hamas and Israel have to decide whether to expand the arrangement outside the initial 42-day trial.

For now, Israel has signaled that he wants to maintain a fire interruption to maintain the flow of hostages. But the extension would require both sides to agree to the permanent end of the war – the bridge for which Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel appeared, not wanting to cross. The coalition government of Mr. Netanyahu relies on the extreme right -wing legislators seeking constant Israeli control over Gaza, and his administration could be demolished if the war ended with a hamasa still in charge.

The terms of the agreement allow certain flexibility. The truce can be continued outside the 42-day marks as long as both sides are negotiating whether the arrangement will make it permanent.

But Israeli officials say they will not remain closed in impeccable negotiations, especially if Hamas stops letting go hostage. And Hamas is likely to keep the hostage release, his main negotiating chip, without the Israeli promise that he will permanently stop hostilities.

“Hamas wants to break the fire, but not at all costs,” said Mkhaimar Abusada, Palestinian political scientist from Gaza. “They want a break of fire that ends the war.”

Much could depend on the readiness of President Trump to turn to Mr Netanyahu according to a more permanent truce. Mr. Trump’s private messages to the Israeli premiere were key to forging the initial phase, but it remains to be seen whether the US president will keep the position after a few weeks.

“If Netanyahu manages to convince Trump of the need to renew the war, there will probably be a reconstruction of the war,” Mr. Abusada said. “If Trump holds his promise that he does not want any war and wants more peace – whether it is in Gaza, Ukraine or around the world – it’s a different thing.”