Said President Trump He believes President Vladimir V. Putin from Russia to comply with any peace agreement at Ukraine who negotiate. Many Russians who fled the country in the first months of the war are not so sure.

Neither do they have much faith that the conditions that have started them abroad will also be accelerated by any political disagreement at any time to change whether Mr. Trump manages to raise a fire or not. For now, it seems that these conversations stopped from Mr. Putin rejected Mr. Trump and Ukraine’s proposal on 30 days truce.

“The war will be over when Putin is over,” said Pavel Beam, a real estate agent from St. Petersburg, who fled to Turkey three years ago. He added: “Putin will stay in the work: but he is negotiating for his country and his citizens, but because of the sanctions of relief for himself and his friends.”

For Kremlin, the future About 800,000 Russians who escaped from his country after invasion is a sensitive political and economic subject. Their existence is a sharp reminder that many Russians opposed the war or at least did not want to fight in it.

AND Exodus Of the number of people who are prone to highly educated and work in professional areas that are high demand, also harm to the economy, experts say.

But even if homes and struggles are struggling to reject the roots elsewhere, many Russians do not believe that the Kremlin will stop persecuting people because of their anti -government attitude, no matter what is happening on the battlefield in Ukraine.

The research conducted by the research project surpassed it Surveyed about 8,500 Russian emigrants In more than 100 countries from July to November, before the termination of the interview began, he showed that only a small share was planning to move to Russia if the war was over.

Although the survey is not representative for all Russian emigration, it has shown that about 40 percent of respondents have said that a return will be considered if they see democratic changes in Russia.

“Currently, trust in the Russian government is extremely low,” said Emil Kamalov, who is part of the Outrosh team, based in Italy and in the United States, who studied Russian exodus.

At the recent Friday in Istanbul, émirés from Russia, mostly in the 30s and 40s, they mixed with glasses of sparkling wine and combucha at the opening of the exhibition on the black mustache, the bookstore opened by the Russian pattern in the hunt for passes, in passing actions, from the emergence of the rug poultry, in the emergence of putting in Bocratic complications In their new countries.

But many have friends or family still in Ukraine and say that their own temptations are pale in relation to what they have gone through: loss of life, great destruction and Russian occupation.

Mikhail, 37, who said he was working in a party, described the experience of abolishing his wife and young daughter from Moscow in March 2022, shortly after the full Russian invasion began. He asked that his surname was not used, fearing retaliation against his wife, who, unlike him, occasionally visits Russia.

He is now settled in Istanbul, Mihail says he would like to at least visit Moscow without fear of grabbing him from the street and assembling to fight in Ukraine.

After the first wave immediately after the invasion of Ukraine, the exit of the Russians, especially the young man from combat, intensified in the fall of 2022, when Mr. Putin announced partial mobilization.

Some returned after the Kremlin stopped issuing civilian commands, but the mobilization regulation is technically still in force. This means that the Government can force all Russian civilians in the service.

“Moving back is not on the agenda for us,” Mihail said. “Russia should at least officially end the mobilization so that I and others feel that we are no longer in danger.”

He said Kremlin did not see “no concrete steps” that would change his mind in the direction Mr. Putin went to his country.

Russian officials did not give public indications that they were planning to facilitate things at the domestic front.

Vyacheslav V. Volodin, a speaker in the Russian parliament, recently doubled threats to Russian emigration, saying that those who left Should “come and repent on the red square.”

Other legislators make laws that will go after the Russians involved in “hostile” external organizations – Or who have just spoken against the war.

Within two weeks of participating in anti -war protests in St. Petersburg in 2022, and after being arrested and punished, Mr. Beam, Real Estate Agent, booked a one -way ticket to Istanbul and said goodbye to his parents.

That decision proved to be ancient: six months in the war, and after he left, Mr. Beam issued an invitation. When his father died in 2023, he could not go to the funeral, fearing his arrest for the draft and his anti -war activism.

After three years of burning his savings and capturing of the ups and downs of exile, Mr. Beam founded a job in Istanbul last summer with a local partner who advised the real estate contracts for colleagues Russians.

The idea of ​​returning to your old job in your beloved city of St. Petersburg is tempting, he said, but does not want to return to the country he considers to be more authoritarian.

He added that some Russians are now taking precautions when returning home, including cleaning their social media accounts to avoid problems with the authorities. His dream is “to be able to freely come to my favorite city without erasing the telegram, loud and freely speaking on the bus and cafes.”

Constantine Sonin, a professor of economics in Chicago Harris School of Chical Policy, said the departure of so many younger people could cause deep damage to the long -term economic development of Russian.

“The brain drain is the main blow to the economy, and the young, the most talented and promising were the first to receive offers and left,” he said.

AND Outrosh survey showed that 80 percent of Russian emigrants They have a university degree, compared to an average of 54 percent in Russia.

Some economics sectors are affected by particularly difficult, such as information technology and higher education, said Professor Sonin.

In some countries, the hosts of the well -educated Russians with high purchases helped encourage economic flourishing: in Armenia the economy 2022 increased by 14 percent, and economists are partly responsible for Russian emigration.

Clearly upset with the flight of thousands of young IT professionals, some Russian officials in the initial months of invasion in full scale tried to lure them back with preferential mortgage rates and delay from military service.

But the Kremlin has since giving up such efforts since then.

Oleg Chernousv is among those who said they are unlikely to come back soon.

He arrived in Istanbul in March 2022. Without Turkish and several savings, before setting a black mustache trade, where he hosted a recent exhibition of artists from St. Petersburg, with a large selection of books in English.

Mr. Chernousov said that, regardless of the outcome of the conversation on the conversion, the main concern of Emigraus, which he knows, was the erosion of freedom in Russia. And he doesn’t think it will turn closer to the relationship between Washington and Moscow.

“I think Trump takes care of what’s going on in Russia – a democratic change in Russia is definitely not dependent on it,” he said.