Union budget 2025: When will food inflation lower? Economic survey 2024-25 says …


Food inflation has been a great contributor to inflation in recent years, so people have proposed to get rid of certain foods to avoid burning holes in their pockets.

The situation, however, is likely to improve around Q4FY25 with seasonal flexibility of vegetable prices and the arrival of Kharif’s harvest, according to the economic survey presented in the current Parliament. The Union Minister of Finance, Nirmala Sitharaman, presented the document to the houses of Parliament – Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha – today.

If rabi production is good enough, food prices are likely to be in the first half of 2026.

“However, economic uncertainties,” the document was read.

Globally, food inflation is on a downward trend due to improving supply conditions, strong harvests and favorable cultivation conditions.

But why has India been able to contain food inflation? However, in India, the food inflation rate has remained firm due to the interruptions of the supply chain worsened by extreme weather conditions and the reduction of the harvest of some foods such as vegetables and legumes.

Vegetables and pulses represent a weight of 8.42 percent in the CPI basket, while their contribution to global inflation was 32.3 percent in exercise 25, according to the economic survey. .

The document also said that after the exclusion of the two articles, the country’s average food inflation rate for exercise 25 was 4.3 percent, more than 4 % lower than the general inflation of the Food.

The economic survey, prepared under the supervision of the economic counselor and Anantha Nageswaran, also stated that the increase in tomato prices and onions caused by supply disruptions related to the climate caused more inflation rates more inflation rates. elevated to exercise 25.

“When we exclude the three most sensitive vegetables (tomato, onion and potato (upper)) from the CPI basket, the average inflation rate of food in FY25 (April-December) the current food inflation.



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