EU senior diplomats are scheduled to hold a meeting on January 27 to discuss the relaxation of sanctions on Syria in order to revitalize the country’s dilemma economy. At the same time, people have doubts about the political direction that this new government’s new government may adopt.

Two people in informed European diplomatic sources said that when the EU foreign minister gathered, the specific sanctions they considers would include travel restrictions, Syrian oil and natural gas exports, infrastructure and humanitarian assistance access, and gradually canceling restrictions on financial transactions Essence Brucel’s discussion told Peninsula TV.

At the beginning of January, the United States relaxed the six -month restrictions to promote humanitarian assistance, some energy sales and personal remittances into Syria.

The European Union is considering its own actions. In the past few weeks, a group of EU officials have appeared in Damascus. exhibit Support the new temporary government led by members of the Shathar Assad’s rebel organization Sharh Liberation Organization (HTS). Because the organization is linked to the base organization, the United Nations imposed sanctions on the organization in 2014. In 2018, the United States and the European Union listed HTS as the “terrorist” organization.

But even when they came into contact with Syrian temporary leader Ahmed Sara, the EU leaders also issued a warning: they hope that the Syrian new leadership will form a tolerant government to respect human rights and ethnic minorities.

This group consisting of 27 members is cautious about the direction that salads may take. “It seems that there are no controversial signs that everything has changed,” one of the two diplomats said, he refers to HTS’s poor record in human rights. In 2020, the European Union condemned HTS’s “systemic practices” of torture and murder of civilians in its control areas, and said that the organization’s behavior could constitute war or anti -human crime.

The diplomat added that the worst situation was to cancel sanctions, and then saw the new government restricted the rights of women or ethnic minorities.

Al-SHARAA joined the Iraqi base in 2003, and later established a branch of the armed organization in Syria, called the “support line”. It cuts off its connection with the base organization and renamed HTS in 2017 with other factions. Before the Lightning Offensive ended the Assad regime in December, the organization controlled the Idlib area northwest of the country. It is estimated that the region has as many as 30,000 soldiers.

The Syrian leader has repeatedly denied extremism. He also tried to show a mild image and promised to build an inclusive government. Experts said that persuading Western countries to relieving sanctions is vital to the success of the new government, because if economic relief is not fast enough, the initial joy after Assad’s collapse may lead to frustration and violence.

It is estimated that 90%of the Syrian population lives in poverty. At present, the country’s GDP (GDP) is less than $ 9 billion, and in 2010 it was $ 60 billion. Most areas can only get two to three hours of state power supply a day. The new government lacks resources to solve difficult tasks -from paying the salary of civil servants and rebuilding the entire city that has been razed to the ground, to formulating election route maps and ensuring winter heating.

Katal Hamad Ben Halfa University Professor Suerdan Balacart said: “The test is easy to fail -there are many reasons for errors.”

Parakart believes that the sanctions that directly hinder the country’s reconstruction capabilities -for example, the sanctions that affect the investment of the diaspora investment and travel -should be canceled immediately without any conditions. The European Union can discuss restrictions on individuals or HTS in the later stage.

“We can only judge based on what they (the government led by Salad), what they say is good -now they (the Western government) can help them put what they say, otherwise they may have doubts And make obstacles for them, “he said.

Following Russia and Iran, Syria is the third country in the world with the largest number of sanctions. In the 1970s, the United States included the country in the country that supports “terrorism” for occupying Eastern Lebanon. In the next few decades, the United States and the European Union also implemented several other waves of restrictions, including Assad’s support for the Lord of the Lord and his brutal suppression of parent protests in 2011, and then more than 13 years of war.

One of the most destructive sanctions is the “Caesar Act” implemented by the United States in 2019. The bill actually prohibits state and private enterprises from conducting business with the Assad government. The European Union’s sanctions on import and export, infrastructure projects and trade and financial support.

Syrian economist Samil Eita said that if the restrictions on the energy sector and financial transactions are not completely canceled (except for personal remittances), the US exemption and the EU department’s sanctions proposal may not be enough to ensure stability and attract the new government Private investors and chairman of the Arab economist circle headquarters in France.

“You need to speed up this process,” Eita said. “If the Syrian country and their institutions cannot operate, only non -governmental organizations can take action, they will eventually replace the country,” he said. He added that because the central bank is still sanctioned, the country is facing the risk of falling into the “cash economy”, which may cause funds to flow to different groups and militias in control, “this means confusion.”

Europe will find itself directly affected by this instability. “In terms of immigration, terrorism, and broader instability, the European Union has been on the direct fire of Syria’s conflict. Therefore, seeing the stable Syrian development obviously meets the interests of the European Union,” the director of Middle East affairs Julian Barnes- Plan from the European Foreign Relations Commission of Julien Barnes-DACEY.

Since the outbreak of the war, more than one million Syrian people have gone to Europe for asylum. As the entire EU’s anti -immigrant emotions rose, some European governments promised to create economic conditions for refugees to return home, which may become useful election gimmicks.

But Barnes Darcy said that so far, political participation has not yet had any meaningful substantial steps to support the transition. “There is a real risk. If they wait too long, the continuous deterioration will destroy the transition prospect they want to see,” he added.